Forum Thread

Justify's chances for a Triple Crown sweep

Reply to ThreadDisplaying 5 Posts
  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        

    Kentucky Derby winner Justify is drawing comparisons to the last triple crown winner American Pharoah. Makes sense too. Both horses were undefeated before the Derby, were favored to win the Derby, and won it without much trouble at all.

    Also, Bob Baffert trained both horses, so they essentially come from the same stable.

    I think we might be looking at another triple crown winner here. California Chrome almost did it a few years ago, and I think that got everyone looking at horse racing again as an exciting sport (at least it did for me). Then American Pharoah accomplished it the very next year. Now 3 years later, I think we will see it happen again.

    If you didn't get a chance to see Justify in action in the Derby, here's the replay:

  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    Is it just me or did Combatant only have 5 seconds to get settled in the chute before the starter pistol went off? What a quick start.
  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    JFoster Wrote: Is it just me or did Combatant only have 5 seconds to get settled in the chute before the starter pistol went off? What a quick start.
    Yeah. Derby had really bad track conditions, and that I think led to some confusion and fumbling of the start. Doesn't it seem like they should cover the track or something in case of rain, like they do for MLB games? Or would that mess with the history of the event too much? Just seems like they could easily improve the track conditions being so damn muddy every year.
  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    Dallasite Wrote:
    JFoster Wrote: Is it just me or did Combatant only have 5 seconds to get settled in the chute before the starter pistol went off? What a quick start.
    Yeah. Derby had really bad track conditions, and that I think led to some confusion and fumbling of the start. Doesn't it seem like they should cover the track or something in case of rain, like they do for MLB games? Or would that mess with the history of the event too much? Just seems like they could easily improve the track conditions being so damn muddy every year.

    That'd definitely be an upgrade/smart pm decision, considering the amount it happens. We're talking about races that are very few in numbers, absurdly profitable in every area, and can completely change if the track gets wet.... I wonder how many times someone has brought up your exact point to the higher-ups.

    There has to be a good reason not to blanket the track. Right?

  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    PowerPlay Wrote:
    Dallasite Wrote:
    JFoster Wrote: Is it just me or did Combatant only have 5 seconds to get settled in the chute before the starter pistol went off? What a quick start.
    Yeah. Derby had really bad track conditions, and that I think led to some confusion and fumbling of the start. Doesn't it seem like they should cover the track or something in case of rain, like they do for MLB games? Or would that mess with the history of the event too much? Just seems like they could easily improve the track conditions being so damn muddy every year.

    That'd definitely be an upgrade/smart pm decision, considering the amount it happens. We're talking about races that are very few in numbers, absurdly profitable in every area, and can completely change if the track gets wet.... I wonder how many times someone has brought up your exact point to the higher-ups.

    There has to be a good reason not to blanket the track. Right?

    It's a good question. I would guess it's probably some lame reasoning like mentioned already about not changing the race conditions so the history books don't have to include asterisks going forward. If that's the case, that's silly. If not, I have no idea.

    Justify has a great chance to go 3/3 if it can beat Good Magic at the Preakness. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think Good Magic won't go to Belmont if it loses. If that's the case, sets up a Justify triple crown chance quite nicely.