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2016 NFL MVP? Dak, Zeke, Wilson, Brady?

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    After 10 games in the books, I think we can start to have this discussion. Who do you think is the front-runner to win the league MVP? Seems fairly clear the candidates right now. Here's all the players I think are in contention right now:

    Ezekiel Elliott
    Dak Prescott
    Russell Wilson
    Tom Brady
    Matthew Stafford
    Derek Carr

    Think I missed anyone?

    I can't say that anyone has vaulted themselves to the clear #1 just yet. But I do think that the order is pretty close right now to the way I listed it. The problem though with Zeke or Dak of the Cowboys winning it is that they run the very likely risk of cancelling each other out. Plus, the credit as to their combined success needs to be given, at least in very large part, to Dallas' offensive line. But that doesn't rule either out. And if it's between them, I think Elliott wins.

    But if the Cowboy's guys do cancel votes out, Russell Wilson I would say is the front runner, over Brady. We have already seen a Brady-less team go 3-1 without him. So, the thinking that he is their most important player gets seriously questioned, even as solid as he always is. Then with the other two QB's.. they will have to show up huge the rest of the year to steal the spot, but it's certainly not impossible.

    All that said, right now, I think it's a short list between Wilson and Elliott. How do you think it will all play out?

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    Passer rating is still a great way to tell how well a qb is actually playing. It's not the end all, be all. But I think it paints a pretty good picture of how their season is going. Here are the top 5 qb ratings so far:

    1. Tom Brady - 123.3
    2. Matt Ryan - 115.1
    3. Dak Prescott - 108.6
    4. Drew Brees - 106.4
    5. Kirk Cousins - 101.4

    Carr, Mariota, Big Ben, Stafford and Wilson are all in that 99.3-100.6 range. FYI.

    Then you have to consider what the backup would do, if these guys were to go down. Then substract the (guessed at) difference, and decide their overall value added to the team.

    Would the Pats be 8-2 under Garoppolo? For what it's worth, Jimmy had a 117.1 passer rating in his limited action this year. So.. I think that is a few marks against Brady being the unquestioned MVP, just because he is #1.

    Matt Ryan should be on the short list. Imagine replacing him with Schaub, or Vick? That team would collapse. Also, remove Dak and we saw last year what the Cowboys look like without a true talented qb.. they sucked. They could not win a single game last year without Romo. Strong case for Dak here too.

    Brees' chances are really hurt because of their record. And honestly because he does this every year. Kirk on the other hand is a true wildcard; it will depend entirely on how he finishes the season out. So far though, he has as of late played outstanding.

    I think Elliott is the only non-qb that's in serious consideration, at this point. But I wouldn't count out someone like LeVeon Bell either, if the Steelers win out, or get close to it.

    I would say all things being equal the race is very contingent on how the season finishes up, with Elliott being the slight frontrunner for MVP right now.

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    Can't see at this point how u can give it to a Cowboy over Matt Ryan. It's Matt Ryan's year. Voters know he's earned it. Dak and Zeke are rookies so voters know they have time to win it later. Plus they kinda cancel each other out being on same team.
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    Kos9 Wrote: Can't see at this point how u can give it to a Cowboy over Matt Ryan. It's Matt Ryan's year. Voters know he's earned it. Dak and Zeke are rookies so voters know they have time to win it later. Plus they kinda cancel each other out being on same team.
    Ryan has to be up there too. That is a player I missed in my first post. Makes sense though. It will depend entirely on his next 5 games though. They are 7-4 now. I would think Ryan would have to keep it up, and win at least 3, if not 4 of the next 5 to get it. 10-6, 11-5.. anything short of that I think he will have a hard time pulling it off.
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    An update on this race, ESPN just released their team's vote ballot, with 5 games to go:

    Derek Carr - 41 votes
    Matt Ryan - 37 votes
    Tom Brady - 36 votes
    Ezekiel Elliott - 27 votes
    Dak Prescott - 17 votes

    Ryan got the most #1 votes, with 4. This seems pretty right to me.