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2019 NFL Draft - First Round Thoughts and Results

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    All the mock drafts on NFL.com, CBSSports, ESPN and Mel Kiper and McShay are all unanimously projecting Kyler Murray to go #1 in the draft. And every single one of them are saying it'll be Arizona that uses their top pick to him, except for one guy at CBS Sports who thinks the Raiders will surprise and trade up to take Murray.. who knows.

    This kinda flies in the face of rumors I heard about the Cards wanting to pass on Murray to take Bosa instead. Personally I go back and forth. I think Josh Rosen is a really good QB. Is he a better franchise player than Murray? I really don't know. But with the recent hire of their new coach Kingsbury the thought is Murray will be a better fit. That's probably true.

    Murray is supremely talented. But its yet to be seen if that'll translate into the NFL. If they do take Murray they can always trade Rosen or have an excellent back up for a year or so and then trade him or even have try outs for the QB position; not a bad spot to be in. Wouldn't that be interesting if they take Murray but Rosen wins over the coach anyways..

    At any rate, wanted to post my top 10 predictions for the first round and then talk about draft results as they come in. The surprises, trade ups, trade downs, what the Giants end up doing, etc. This draft should be more fascinating than most in the last few years, at least for the first round.

    Something to consider, the Giants and Patriots have the most picks in this draft at 12 a piece. So they can either draft a ton of guys OR they can levy that capital to move up.

    So with that in mind here are my top 10 pick predictions:

    1. Arizona Cardinals take Kyler Murray. Yeah, I know. Safe pick. I almost want them to take Bosa but I just don't see how you pass on that level of talent and potential.

    2. San Francisco 49ers take Nick Bosa. This is another consensus top #2 pick on all the mocks that don't have teams trading up to get a player.

    3. This is where things get interesting to me. It's supposed to be the Jets pick here. But they have already hinted at seriously wanting to trade down. I think Quinnen Williams is the 3rd best in this draft but I could see the Redskins moving up to take QB Haskins here. Haskins is arguably the best QB in the draft and they need one. Makes a lot of sense to me.

    4. Oakland Raiders take Quinnen Williams. He'll be the best player available and they should do that. I think Gruden will.

    5. Tampa Bay Buccs take Devin White. They need an inside linebacker and he is the best option in the draft this year.

    6. NY Giants take.. QB Daniel Jones. That's right, I think Murray and Haskins will be gone and they really like Jones. Eli will play out most the year. And when they are 4-8 or so Jones will take over.

    7. Jacksonville Jags take TJ Hockenson. They need a great tight end and that he is. I would like to see this happen anyways.

    8. Detroit Lions take Ed Oliver. He will be one of if not the best defensive players left on the board.

    9. Buffalo Bills take Montez Sweat. This would somewhat a steal for them. He is projected to go as high as 5 and the Bills could definitely use a talented DE.

    10. Denver Broncos take Devin Bush. Or they take QB Drew Lock. But I give the edge to Bush as an inside linebacker will be more immediately helpful to them.

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    Does seem like Murray goes to Arizona. I feel like there will be 2 or 3 teams moving up in the first 10-15 picks and shattering a bunch of mock drafts. The Pats might move up as well. Not into the top 10 but I could see them moving up into a middle first round pick possibly if a someone like TJ Hockenson is still on the board (to replace Gronk).

    Real curious what the Giants do. You can't trust anything their GM says right now and even though it feels like a rebuilding year they could surprise everyone.

    And then there's Oakland. I think they want to make a splash in this draft. So those are my 3 wildcards. With the Jets willing to trade down from 3 this will get interesting. I think 4 quarterbacks will be taken with the first 25 picks.

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    I don't think its a lock Murray goes to the Cards. And that will change everyone's strategy in the top 10 if they don't. Cause Arizona could and probably should take Bosa. And that would lead the 49ers to consider Quinnen Williams. I do like the thought that the Redskins trade up for the 3rd and if Murray is available they might take him. Maybe they want another chance at a dynamic rookie like RGIII? I could see that. Would make their games way more watchable.

    I give it a 50/50 Murray goes first. Then he could go #3 but only if a team trade's up. But you would have Oakland, Tampa Bay and the Giants next up. Oakland doesn't need a QB but they might consider Murray an upgrade over Carr? If not, Tampa Bay definitely needs a QB. But don't forgot Haskins and even Jones would be there.

    I could see a scenario where Murray and Haskins are taken 5th and 6th, and both players could go to either team. Hard to see everyone in the top 10 passing on Murray though. Denver should jump on him if that happens at 10.

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    Murray goes 1 to Arizona. Interesting that this is the first time a team has taken the same position at the top of draft 2 years in a row, ever. Now the question becomes.. where does Rosen land? Think the Giants give a 17th for him?
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    Full first round pick results:

    1. Kyler Murray to Arizona.
    2. Nick Bosa to 49ers.
    3. Quinnen Williams to the Jets.
    4. Clelin Ferrell to the Raiders. (Clemson DE)
    5. Devin White to Tampa Bay. (LSU insider LB)
    6. Daniel Jones to New York Giants. (Duke QB)
    7. Josh Allen to Jacksonville Jags. (Kentucky DE)
    8. TJ Hockenson to Detroit Lions. (Iowa TE)
    9. Ed Oliver to Buffalo Bills. (Houston DT)
    10. Devin Bush to Pittsburgh Steelers. (Traded with Denver, Michigan ILB)

    11. Jonah Williams to Cincinnati Bengals. (Alabama OT)
    12. Rashan Gary to Green Bay Packers. (Michigan DE)
    13. Christian Wilkins to Miami Dolphins. (Clemson DE)
    14. Chris Lindstrom to Atlanta Falcons. (Boston College G)
    15. Dwayne Haskins to Washington Redskins. (Ohio State QB)
    16. Brian Burns to Carolina Panthers. (Florida State OLB)
    17. Dexter Lawrence to New York Giants. (Clemson DT)
    18. Garrett Bradbury to Minnesota Vikings. (NC State C)
    19. Jeffery Simmons to Tennessee Titans. (Mississippi State DT)
    20. Noah Fant to Denver Broncos. (Iowa TE)

    21. Darnell Savage Jr. to Green Bay Packers. (Trade from Seattle, Maryland S)
    22. Andre Dillard to Philadelphia Eagles. (Trade from Baltimore, Washington State OT)
    23. Tytus Howard to Houston Texans. (Alabama State OT)
    24. Josh Jacobs to Oakland Raiders. (Alabama RB)
    25. Marquise Brown to Baltimore Ravens. (Oklahoma WR)
    26. Montez Sweat to Washington Redskins. (Trade from Indy, Mississippi State DE)
    27. Johnathan Abrams to Oakland Raiders. (Mississippi State S)
    28. Jerry Tillery to Los Angeles Chargers. (Notre Dame DT)
    29. LJ Collier to Seattle Seahawks. (TCU DE)
    30. Deandre Baker to New York Giants. (Trade from Seattle, Georgia CB)

    31. Kaleb McGary to Atlanta Falcons. (Trade from LA,Washington OT)
    32. N'Keal Harry to New England Patriots. (Arizona State WR)

Categories: NFL Draft