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Three Kentucky Derby Long Shots That Are Worth a Bet

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    Found a pretty cool article from the Washington post site. I thought we'd focus on some long shots this time. Perhaps we will be surprised, especially those who decide to take a chance on these horses. Listed below are the horses and what the article had to say about them.

    No. 6 Vekoma (15-1)

    "His latest resulted in a career-high Brisnet pace figure (114) and another triple-digit speed figure (101), giving him all he needs to keep up with the field. His stalking style from the No. 6 post is a plus, too, allowing him to use his tactical speed rather than forcing him to adopt a less-comfortable style."

    No. 7 Maximum Security (8-1)

    "During his victory in his last prep he set a career low pace figure but closed the last three-eighths of a mile in less than 36 seconds and he covered the last eighth-mile in less than 13 seconds, two strong indicators of a horse’s ability to win the Kentucky Derby."

    No. 19 Spinoff (30-1)

    "Post position 19 isn’t doing him any favors — I’ll Have Another (2012) is the only horse from the No. 19 post position to hit the board this century, per The Post’s Matt Bonesteel — but don’t completely discount this son of Hard Spun because Spinoff’s breeding is impeccable."

    Everyone loves and underdog, and why not an "underhorse"? It would be interesting to see if any of the three turn heads. Perhaps one of them will be the surprise winner we talk about for years to come. What's the likeliness here? Are there any other "underhorses" who deserve the consideration as well?

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    I've actually heard good things about Spinoff. Like the quote says, the horse has a great lineage. If Spinoff doesn't make a splash this race, I can see the horse doing it in races to come.
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    It's a shame the Omaha Beach horse had to withdraw at the last second (breathing issues apparently). So my bet is we don't see any triple crown run this year.

    If I were betting on this race I'd go with Game Winner, the current odds favorite. 9-2 for the frontrunner is pretty good.

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    Looks like Maximum Security is moving up the ranks. 9/2 odds as of a few hours before the race. So is Improbable. Those are the 2 odds leaders now. You can see the live and official odds there:

    2019 Kentucky Derby Live Odds

    Also, according to that site the total win pool is over $14.5 million. Wow.

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    JFoster Wrote:

    No. 7 Maximum Security (8-1)

    Now he's 4-1 and the frontrunner. Good call. Happen to wager any? Think he has a shot at the triple crown (assuming he wins)?
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    Country House jockey is being really cool about Maximum Security bumping him and potentially costing him the race. The move is being contested right now.. a winner has never been overturned by a contested move at the Kentucky Derby so we could see history if they rule against Max Security. Stay tuned.
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    SFriedman Wrote: Country House jockey is being really cool about Maximum Security bumping him and potentially costing him the race. The move is being contested right now.. a winner has never been overturned by a contested move at the Kentucky Derby so we could see history if they rule against Max Security. Stay tuned.

    Well it happened. Uncool if you ask me. I feel like you have to watch the tape dozens of times to convince yourself it was worth disqualification. But then again I'm not a horse racing rules expert. So I don't know the in's and out's of what the right call should have been. Hell, I didn't even know it was possible to contest something after the race like that. Instant replays for horse racing, who knew?

    Good for Country House but that's an enormous asterisk next to his name in the history books and it will be even bigger if he has any chance at Triple Crown aspirations.

Categories: Kentucky Derby