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More Busts Than Usual in 2020 NBA Draft

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    Given that we didn't get March Madness and had a truncated season in 2020 for college basketball, what do you think is the likelihood of us seeing more busts coming out of the 2020 NBA Draft? More than usual, or do you think scouts have been paying attention long before March Madness.

    My guess is this was one of the hardest years since forever for talent evaluators, who gotta rely heavily on the NCAA tournament to show the potential of the best players in the country. March Madness shows how they play on the national stage, with the most eyeballs. Without that, feels a lot more like guess work.

    Anthony Edwards went #1 overall this year, to Minnesota. He is a guard out of Georgia. Wonder how correctly drafted he was over the rest of the top ten??

    2. James Wiseman - Warriors
    3. LaMelo Ball - Hornets
    4. Patrick Williams - Bulls
    5. Isaac Okoro - Cavs
    6. Onyeka Okongwu - Hawks
    7. Killian Hayes - Pistons
    8. Obi Toppin - Knicks
    9. Deni Avdija - Wizards
    10. Jalen Smith - Suns

    Let's keep this thread going and revisit after this group gets a year or two under their belt in the NBA. See if the % of busts is higher, normal or who knows, even less, than an average NBA draft. Real curious about that.

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    Dallasite Wrote:

    Let's keep this thread going and revisit after this group gets a year or two under their belt in the NBA. See if the % of busts is higher, normal or who knows, even less, than an average NBA draft. Real curious about that.

    I think there will be a higher percentage just because of the health issue in the country. Definitely could be a higher percentage if things don't go back to normalish levels by next year.

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    It seems like scouts are always paying attention. Don't they start looking into athletes well before March madness?
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    You're right, they do start looking well before the tournament. And all the players going into the draft would be juniors and seniors, so they have had ample time to scout for the last few seasons. But.. you also have the variable of 'what have you done for me lately?'. Scouts, I think, bank on seeing these kids perform on the biggest stage just before the draft. So they can prove they are worth a high pick. Regular season play is very different than, let's say the Final Four. So the fact the scouts didn't get to see that does put them up against the wall a little, forced to rely on their pre-tournament scouting.

    And there's all the smaller schools that big scouts didn't pay as much attention to, expecting that if there was any surprise talent there that the tournament would surface it. So lazy scouts mostly will be punished, and those on the ball will be most rewarded. Maybe that's the way to look at it.