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Rafael Nadal has to be the favorite to win the '16 French Open. He has won it 9 of the last 11 years. And I don't think a single player has dominated an event like that ever, maybe in any sport ever. (correct me if I'm forgetting something)
But the reason why this is an epic showdown and no foregone conclusion by a longshot is this--
Djokovic is #1 in the world right now. And he himself has been awesome at Roland Garros, finishing in 2nd place 3 of the last 4 years. On top of that, Djokovic wants to be considered in the conversation of the greatest of all time. But that will never quite happen if he never wins at the French Open. It's a Grand Slam event, 1 of only 4. He needs his name as a champion for at least one year on that list of champions, to gain that next level of respect.
This year Djokovic is perhaps more setup to win the French Open than any other year in his career. He's #1 in the world, and in the absolute prime (28 years old). And he just won the Australian Open. So if Djokovic wins, there will be massive talk about him pulling off the ultimate accomplishment, The Grand Slam of tennis. Very little in sports is as impressive as that feat.
Then comes Andy Murray. #2 in the world right now. And, Murray just bet Djokovic to win the Italian Open title. That's something Murray hasn't been able to do very much in his career. Head to head, Djokovic has him by a count of 23-10. So that puts a lot of doubt in a player's head, ecxept for the fact that he just grinded out a great match to beat him. So he can now take that momentum and use it just a week or two later to battle him again, this time with confidence that he can once again win.
Every single one of these stories is compelling to me, and I think no matter which way it goes, if one of these 3 guys wins Roland Garros, it will be well deserved and exciting to see. Djokovic could cement his history. Nadal could continue his awesome dominance there. Or Murray could overcome his past, and claim top ranking in the world. Any I'd like to see happen.
Of course, all that would be for not if Federer (#3) or Stan Wawrinka (#4 and last year's champ) pulled out the upset.